Hard Times The Great Energy Bust

More than any previous recession in the U.S. oil and gas industry, this one smells dangerously permanent

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Along Highway 80 in West Texas between Midland and Odessa, giant drilling rigs sit rusting in the winter sun. Gas wells that dot the bleak mesquite- covered prairie lie shut down. Downtown Midland has the stark look of an evacuated city, with empty storefronts and vacant building lobbies.

The scene across America's oil patch these days bears a chilling likeness to the bust that befell the region in the mid-1980s, when energy-production jobs plunged more than one-third. But in fact the situation today is worse. While many parts of the U.S. economy are struggling through the recession, few are as hard hit as energy. By every measure, these are among the toughest times since that first gusher at Spindletop in 1901 -- more akin to the Great Depression than the cyclical booms-and-busts since.

Across the South and West, drilling activity for crude oil is at its lowest point in 52 years. The rig count, the best gauge of life in the oil patch, hovered last week near an all-time low of 660. Production from existing fields has shrunk to its lowest since 1962. Scores of drillers, producers and support firms are laying off, folding up or going bankrupt. Warns Denise Bode, president of the International Petroleum Association of America: "The industry is nearing a state of economic collapse."

More distressing, this latest downturn gives every indication of being permanent. Faced with languishing prices, lower profit margins and tight environmental hurdles to new exploration, the major oil companies are selling off their properties, packing up their drilling gear and heading overseas. Ten billion dollars in assets are on the block as exploration and production head for Africa, South America and the Far East, where drilling costs can be cheaper by half and government sweeteners make new ventures enticing. As the majors lay off workers and leave, those independent companies that can are following. Others are closing up shop or retrenching. Asserts energy scholar Daniel Yergin: "We're seeing a fundamental contraction on the domestic side along with one of the greatest migrations in the history of the oil industry."

Unlike the bust of the mid-'80s, which was marked by nose-diving crude-oil prices, the immediate problem this time is natural gas. Often extracted from the same formations as oil, gas accounts for 24% of the nation's energy consumption, mainly in heavy industry. Producer prices at the wellhead have been in a free fall for months, plummeting last month to $1 per 1,000 cu. ft., down 23% from a year ago. At that price, producers say they can barely turn a profit, and many who can still afford to operate are shutting their supplies in the ground in hopes of an eventual upturn.

Campaigning in the oil patch last week, President Bush responded to the plight -- and political anger -- of natural-gas producers by taking steps to bolster demand. He removed regulatory barriers that have hampered utilities from converting power plants fueled by coal and oil to natural gas. At the same time, Bush lessened restrictions on the sale of compressed natural gas for cars and other vehicles. In Washington, Energy Secretary James Watkins declared, "The worst thing we could do is allow our oil and gas industries to decline the way we have."

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