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But no politician or pundit would call it more than a fighting chance. The only Republican presidential candidate who ever carried Texas was Herbert Hoover, who got 26,000 more votes than Al Smith in 1928, with a strong religious issue on his side. In 1948, despite the Dixiecrat movement, Harry Truman carried 247 of Texas' 254 counties and won the state by more than half a million votes. Even in Texas, where almost everything is done in a big way, it will take a real political tornado to uproot that many Democrats.