SPAIN: Moving to Fill a Power Vacuum

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MANUEL FRAGA IRIBARNE, 53, Ambassador to Britain, a major architect of Spain's tourist boom in the 1960s and head of a recently formed center-rightist political movement.

JOSÉ MARÍA DE AREILZA, the Count of Motrico, 65, a monarchist, former Ambassador to Washington and Paris and adviser to Don Juan de Borbón y Battenberg, father of Juan Carlos and still a potential factor in a new Spanish political equation.

JOAQUÍN RUIZ GIMÉNEZ, 62, a law professor and a former reformist Minister of Education in the 1950s who now heads the still illegal Christian Democratic Party and, despite his relative conservatism, is respected and trusted by the entire democratic opposition and the Spanish Communist Party (P.C.E.).

No matter what the Prince does in his first months in power, he is likely to be opposed by much of the left, especially the P.C.E. At his exile headquarters in Paris, party Secretary-General Santiago Carrillo last week told TIME that the P.C.E. will accept Juan Carlos only if he is chosen by the Spanish people in "free elections" held under a "provisional government in which all political parties are present." Raúl Morodo, a member of the executive committee of the Popular Socialist Party (one of the two leading Socialist groups), agrees that a broad-based provisional government "is the best way to establish a democracy here or at least to institute constitutional change." He further calls for a general amnesty for political prisoners and a popular referendum on the monarchy, "since Juan Carlos has no legitimate claim to leadership."

Of course such a provisional government, presumably including Communists, would be unacceptable to the powerful Spanish right, especially the so-called "bunker"—the hard-line core of Franco's backers. Even if Juan Carlos favored a broad-based provisional government—and there is no hint that he (joes—it is extremely unlikely that he will want or dare to break with the right so soon. Since Communist demands for a provisional government are almost certain to go unfulfilled, the P.C.E. will probably launch a series of "democratic activities": strikes, walkouts, demonstrations. In fact, the Junta Democrática—a leftist group believed to be heavily influenced by the P.C.E.—did not even wait for the young Prince to take office before it began distributing leaflets at universities last week calling for the overthrow of "the Juan Carlos dictatorship."

Actually, Spaniards have been forcibly kept apolitical for so long that there is no telling how they will respond to reforms or revolutionary slogans. Until the political movements surface, either in defiance of the laws now banning them or after the laws are changed, experts can only guess at their size.

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