(2 of 3)
Kentucky (9): Civil rights is the big issue, and a heavy backlash vote could throw it to Barry. But Goldwater's TVA stand hurts him in western Kentucky, and Johnson's anti-poverty program is popular, giving Lyndon a minuscule lead.
Louisiana (10): Barry has been slipping, but the big segregationist vote north of New Orleans should put him over.
Maine (4): The Jenkins case could still hurt Johnson. But Lyndon holds a meager lead, thanks to popular Democratic Senator Edmund Muskie's reelection campaign and Republican Senator Margaret Chase Smith's tepid backing of Barry.
Maryland (10): An inept campaign and bitter animosity from strong minority groups make Barry's cause hopeless.
Massachusetts (14): For Lyndon.
Michigan (21): Such diverse types as Republican Henry Ford II, Democrat Walter Reuther, and Independent Jimmy Hoffa are for Lyndon. G.O.P. Governor George Romney ignores Goldwater whenever he can. Backlash among the state's powerful Polish bloc might have helped Goldwater, but he lost the bloc this month when he denounced "minority pressure groups." Easy win for Johnson.
Minnesota (10): Even without Hubert Humphrey, all the way with L.B.J.
Mississippi (7): Barry's anti-civil rights vote makes him an all but certain winner.
Missouri (12): Kennedy carried the state by just under 10,000 votes in 1960. Johnson will do much better.
Montana (4): Labor is big for Lyndon, and Barry's federal budget-cutting promises have soured many in Montana, where U.S. cash for military payrolls and developing natural resources is an economic cornerstone. L.B.J.
Nebraska (5): Republican Nebraska gave Nixon his biggest margin (62.1%) in 1960, but registration figures indicate Johnson will win Douglas County (Omaha) by 20,000, hold on in the rest of the state. A Nixon speaking trip last week helped Goldwater, but probably not enough.
Nevada (3): Lyndon is odds-on with the smart money.
New Hampshire (4): Republicans outnumber Democrats 5 to 3, but because of his statements on social security, Barry canceled out much of that advantage. Johnson, riding the coattails of popular Democratic Governor John King, rates a fragile favorite.
New Jersey (17): A big win for Johnson.
New Mexico (4): Texas Neighbor Johnson over Arizona Neighbor Goldwater.
New York (43): State Republican candidates are running away from Goldwater, not with him. Lyndon by a million, and perhaps much more.
Nortk Carolina (13): Goldwater's farm views helped kill his early lead. Johnson is a slight favorite.
Nortk Dakota (4): The G.O.P. is bitterly split over Goldwater. Johnson, in a close one.
Okio (26): Republican Chairman Ray Bliss has a strong machine working for Goldwater, while the Democratic organization is woefully weak. But not even the presence of young Bob Taft on the Republican ticket will prevent Johnson from carrying Ohio comfortably.
Oklakoma (8): Democrats are united and working hard for Johnson. Oklahomans are skittish about Barry and the bomb and-shades of 1960- about Bill Miller's Catholicism. Goldwater would have to win big in Tulsa to have a chance; indications are he is merely leading there. For Johnson.