The leaders of the wealthy world weren't keen to launder much dirty linen in the famously clean waters of Evian last week. They talked about the global economy but not about the falling U.S. dollar; about advancing global free trade but not about cutting agricultural subsidies; about weapons of mass destruction but not heaven forfend about Iraq. There was one topic, however, on which Messrs. Berlusconi, Blair, Bush, Chirac, Chrétien, Koizumi, Putin and Schröder talked real money: combatting aids in Africa, where it kills some 6,500 people a day, most of them women and children.
It should have been the perfect topic for French President Jacques Chirac. As the host of this year's G-8, he invited leaders from the developing world to attend part of the summit, emphasizing his multipolar vision of the world. It was Chirac, two years ago at the violence-marred G-8 meeting in Genoa, who was among the most forceful instigators of the Global Fund to Fight aids, Tuberculosis and Malaria. For months he has been saying that a key objective of the Evian summit would be "to halt the spread of the major pandemics and especially of aids."
Then along came George W. Bush to upstage Chirac. Less than a week before his trip to Evian, the American President signed a bill authorizing $15 billion over five years to combat aids in 12 African and two Caribbean countries. As he wielded his pen, he vowed to "urge our European partners and Japan and Canada to join this great mission of rescue, to match their good intentions with real resources." The new law authorizes putting up to $1 billion a year of that $15 billion into the Global Fund but only if others put in twice as much. Was this the laudable beginning of a virtuous circle that finally takes Africa's plight seriously? Or was it, as some aids activists argued, a grandstanding ploy that promises more than it is likely to deliver?
A little of both. Bob Geldof, the musician and co-founder of the Africa advocacy group DATA, accentuates the positive. "Whatever one thinks about what else this Administration is doing, and we all have our opinions, on aids in Africa they are transforming the agenda against all expectations," he says. "The President is to be congratulated on his boldness. But now Bush needs to ensure that the check gets signed." Thanks in part to Bush's challenge, other new pledges to the Geneva-based Global Fund through 2008 jumped by more that $1 billion last week alone: €300 million from France, €200 million from Italy, €340 million from the European Union and $80 million from the U.K. France will be pushing its European Union partners particularly Germany, whose commitment has so far been vague to come up with a solid $1 billion for the Global Fund by mid-July; to fully leverage the U.S. grant, foundations and other countries will have to pony up a further $1 billion.
Advocates will be fighting to nail down those commitments, because if they don't, the American pledge could wither. Currently the U.S. government has appropriated only $200 million for next year's contribution to the Global Fund. An Administration spokesman said he considered it "unlikely" that other donors will come up with the $2 billion, and points out that the law doesn't provide "an automatic trigger" for a full billion to the Fund even if they do. But having thrown down the gauntlet, Bush is now in the ring. Says Sharonann Lynch of the advocacy group HealthGAP: "If other heads of state challenge Bush back, what can he do but pay in his billion?"
As much as they welcome the competitive dynamic between the U.S. and other rich donors, experts don't want to let politicians get ahead of themselves in self-congratulation. "Right now we're spending about a tenth of what we need to fight this pandemic," says development economist Jeffrey Sachs, director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University. "You shouldn't get a prize for doing the most of a little bit." The Global Fund itself, which pays for aids treatment and prevention programs proposed by governments and civil society groups in the most afflicted regions, remains painfully underfunded. It has $400 million, but needs $600 million more to foot the bills for just half of the $2 billion in projects currently under consideration. Sachs argues that aids victims would have been better served if the U.S. had committed more of its money to the Global Fund, which is up and running efficiently, instead of to an untested program that could get as much as $9 billion in newly authorized funding over the next five years. "This President doesn't believe in putting money into organizations where he can't control the outcome," says Sachs. "The Administration deeply distrusts the rest of the world, and that's not a workable model."