"No Halcion for me," said George Bush last week, referring to the widely used sleeping pill. When the President has trouble nodding off, he reaches for a book -- or for a CIA paper: "They have marvelous studies of things all around the world."
Trouble is that too much of the CIA's product is fiction. Several days before Bush disclosed his bedtime habits, New York Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan delivered a devastating critique of the agency's forecasting abilities. "For 40 years," said Moynihan, the CIA "hugely overestimated both the size of the Soviet economy and its rate of growth. This in...
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