A Paris-born team of forecasters fielded by Futurist Herman Kahn's Hudson Institute caused a sensation in Europe last spring when it predicted that the French gross national product would surpass West Germany's in the 1980s. Now a Swiss research firm, Prognos, A.G., has come to a contrary conclusion: though West Germany is headed for some severe strains, it is likely to remain dominant in Western Europe for at least 20 years.
The Hudson study was commissioned by the French government. The 600-page report by Prognos, a well-regarded Basel firm, was prepared for corporate customers. Kahn's researchers concluded that the French...
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