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A Campaign Role Reversal
The Democratic Presidential race is orderly. The G.O.P. race is volatile. Which party will benefit?
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You keep hearing about the Presidential race, "It's so early, it's so early." But it isn't. If you assume the 2008 campaign began on Election Day 2006, then we're already halfway to the Iowa caucus and the New Hampshire primary, currently scheduled for mid-January 2008. Here's what we've learned so far:
In both parties, there's a top twoHillary Clinton and Barack Obama for the Democrats, Rudy Giuliani and John McCain for the Republicans. There's a third-place candidate on the edge of the first tierJohn Edwards and Mitt Romney. There's a big jump down to the next tier of declared...