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*Bailey's argument: The Roman Catholic voters in 14 "pivotal states" were numerous and united enough to swing their states behind a Democratic candidate, if the candidate was a Catholic. The states: Massachusetts (52.8% Catholic), Rhode Island (61.2%), Connecticut (47-2%), New York (35.3%), New Jersey (42.8%), Pennsylvania (30.8%), Maryland (23-8%),Ohio (21.3%), Illinois (33.4% ), Michigan (23.7%), Wisconsin (32%), Minnesota (27.7%), Montana (22.7%) and California (21.2%). Omitted from the Bailey list: New Mexico (45.4%), Maine (27.3%), New Hampshire (38.1%), Vermont (32.3%), North Dakota (23.1%), and Arizona, Louisiana and Hawaii, all more than 20% Catholic.