An Ominous Signal?

Osama Bin Laden has a flair for dramatic timing. In October 2001, he materialized on TV screens hours after bombs began falling on Afghanistan. Three years later, he surfaced on videotape four days before the U.S. presidential election. It was not quite the Osama October Surprise that some Democrats had imagined--bin Laden doing a perp walk in an orange jumpsuit--but it rattled the U.S. and roiled the campaign just the same.

Bin Laden's core message was much the same as before: If the U.S. did not change its behavior toward the Muslim world, it would get hit again. "Your security is...

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