BACKSLIDING IN BOSNIA

SOME OF THOSE PLEDGED TO MAKE THE DAYTON ACCORDS SUCCEED ARE FALTERING

The new conventional wisdom about Bosnia runs like this: despite the overwhelming success in implementing the military provisions of the Dayton accords, those agreements will not lead to a single, unified Bosnia; rather they have merely deferred the resumption of war or, at best, provided an interim stage on the road to partition. The basis for this view is the uncertain pace of implementing the civilian aspects of Dayton--economic reconstruction, return of refugees, prosecution of war criminals, preparation for elections. How valid is the new pessimism?

The short answer is that, with eight months remaining in the year that NATO plans...

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