Prognosis: Fewer Jobs

Clinton may not know it yet, but his advisers predict job losses from health-care reform

WHILE BILL CLINTON RELAXED ON Martha's Vineyard last week, staff members were sweating and fretting back in Washington, studying computer models for answers to one of the most explosive questions facing his health-care-reform proposal. That question -- the subject of a showdown meeting scheduled with the President this week -- is, How many jobs will be lost during the long transition to reform?

Clinton has publicly stated that health-care reform will "boost job creation," a claim that unnerves many of his advisers. What they know -- and what some of them fear Clinton has not been told -- is that the...

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