Handicapping the War

Speculation about when the U.S. and its allies will move against Saddam Hussein is now rife, and hardly idle. Financial markets have been rising and falling on nearly every clue and rumor. The most discussed potential timetables:

NOVEMBER

U.S. elections are over. There will be nighttime Kuwaiti high tides and little moonlight at mid-month, favorable conditions for an invasion. President Bush's promised Thanksgiving visit could be a trick to lull Saddam into complacency.

DECEMBER

( Not especially propitious. For one thing, there is the p.r. problem of launching a war in the holiday season, though the U.S. went into Panama Dec....

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