POLITICAL NOTES: Unconventional Wisdom

In any election year, the conventional political wisdom often proves to be neither conventional nor wise. Herewith a random test:

>Which presidential candidate is clumsiest? No, it is not necessarily Gerald Ford. Ronald Reagan slipped off a snowbank in New Hampshire, but no photographer snapped his fall. Occasionally, Reagan has bumped his head with hardly anyone noticing; more frequently (and noticeably), he has also been known to put his foot in his mouth.

>Who is the favorite candidate in the seven Southeastern states (North Carolina, South Carolina, Florida, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi and Tennessee)?...