Nation: Jimmy's Liability

The Scammenberg theory

Can Jimmy Carter get reelected? Writing in Public Opinion, a new bi-monthly published by the conservative American Enterprise Institute, noted Psephologists Richard M. Scammon and Ben J. Wattenberg intriguingly argue that if Carter fails to get his White House lease renewed in 1980, the cause may lie not so much in his performance in Washington as in how he got there in the first place.

Scammon and Wattenberg, who backed Henry M. Jackson for the 1976 Democratic nomination, base their argument on the fact that while...

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