THE CAMPAIGN: Ordinary Horse Race

Who will be the next President of the U.S.? Just after Candidate Harry Truman set bravely off in pursuit of Candidate Tom Dewey (see below), a man who should be able to answer that question, if anybody can, announced his answer: Dewey. Writing in the New York Herald Tribune this week, Pollster Elmo Roper decided on the basis of his latest FORTUNE Survey that the election was as good as won before the campaign had even started.

His soundings, said Roper, showed Dewey leading Truman by the unbeatable margin of 44% to 31%—"an almost morbid resemblance to the Roosevelt-Landon figures...

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