NINE weeks before the Democratic Convention in Chicago, Vice President Hubert Humphrey is in easy reach of a first ballot victory. 341 delegates are already committed to Humphrey and 995½ lean toward him but could conceivably turn elsewhere. Needed to nominate: 1,312. Senator Eugene McCarthy's 322½ committed votes are augmented by a mere 105½ votes leaning in his direction. The remaining 857½ votes could flow either way. They include 338 votes for favorite sons who could declare for Humphrey even before the first ballot. The probable first-ballot roll call of delegates as reported by TIME correspondents in all 50 states:

Alabama (32...

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