Science: Odds on the Weather

Some time within the next hundred years, the hottest spot in North America (California's Death Valley) will swelter at a temperature of 130° F. In northern Montana, at least once during the next century, thermometers will register a numbing 64° below zero.

These are the predictions of Arnold Court, onetime chief climatologist for the quartermaster general of the U.S. Army. All Court had to work with were 30 years of records made by other weathermen and the weatherproof equations of the statistical theory of extreme values. But the chances that he is correct, says Court in the latest issue of Geographical Review,...

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