Medicine: Peak Deferred

Having stuck its neck out once with an over-optimistic estimate of how long the current polio epidemic would rage (TIME, Sept. 4), the U.S. Public Health Service was chary of making predictions. But last week there was sound reason to hope that the epidemic had passed its peak. Even so, it would be the latest peak week in 18 years.

Latest figures showed 1,994 new cases in one week, 8% below the previous week's 2,170. The total for the "disease year" (beginning in mid-March) stood at 20,405, as against 32,204 at the same time last year. Most likely there would be 30,000...

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