CHINA: Invasion Season

May, June, July and August are the best months for an invasion of Formosa. During the rest of the year weather conditions, including typhoons, protect the island. This summer, then, may bring an event to which the U.S. has already officially resigned itself—the Communist conquest of Formosa. When the Reds attack, there will undoubtedly be a great clatter in the U.S., a sudden recognition that Formosa's fall may touch off a chain of reactions throughout Asia and change basically the U.S. position in the cold war.

Big strategic decisions, such as the one...