National Affairs: Race for the House

What was the statistical basis for the prediction that Republicans will take over the House? Last week TIME correspondents reported from crucial districts in crucial states. A compilation of their reports, based on local polls and the best guesses of local experts, disclosed that Republicans, who now hold 192 seats in Congress, would make the following net gains: California (2), Illinois (3), Indiana (1), Michigan (4), Missouri (2), New York (6), Ohio (2), Pennsylvania (6), Washington (1), West Virginia (2).

Total: 29, which would enable the G.O.P.

to organize the House. Connecticut, Wisconsin and Oklahoma, where races are too confused to guess, may...

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