Last week Franklin Roosevelt looked close to victory in the 1940 election. With the West, South and Border States almost solidly for him, he apparently needed only a brace of Eastern States to coast home. But Franklin Roosevelt was never a chicken counter before hatching time. Apparently he was the only politico in the Democratic Party not suffering from overconfidence. Conversely, Wendell Willkie seemed the only major Republican not suffering from defeatism.
Only experts knew that the Democrats had good cause to worry; that poor local candidates, bad local management, plain Roosevelt coattail-riding was throwing whole States away. As the voters moved...