When the Democratic Convention opened in Chicago, the Gallup Poll stood: President Roosevelt, 53%; Wendell Willkie, 47%. Another Gallup Poll taken in New York State before Convention's end gave New York to Willkie, 51%-to-49%. A week later Pennsylvania (where Dr. Gallup had previously found a growing Democratic sentiment) shifted: Willkie, 52%; Roosevelt, 48%.

Last week a FORTUNE Poll, taken between the Republican and Democratic Conventions, reported some of the most sensational reversals in public opinion to date, indicated that President Roosevelt would carry little outside the Solid South (see col. 3) if the...

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