Novelists are sometimes good guessers, sometimes bad. Last month Novelist Arthur Calder-Marshall published a book about revolution in Mexico (The Way to Santiago), with a hero who bore a resemblance to President-reject Juan Andreu Almazan. In Novelist Calder-Marshall's book everybody expected the General to start his revolution on Independence Day (Sept. 16), but nothing happened. The revolt was to begin two weeks later, with the assassination of the President, but no revolution came.
Last week, in real Mexico, Independence Day passed and nothing very much happened. President Lazaro Cardenas went to the...