"It has, however, to be said," observed Professor Helmut Landsberg of Penn State's School of Mineral Industries, writing in Science last week, "that our present knowledge ... of earthquakes does not permit any prediction of location and time of occurrence of a major earthquake with scientific precision." Meanwhile major quakes were occurring here & there over the globe and in Manhattan a young Jew named Reuben Greenspan seemed to be doing an astonishingly good job of calling them before they happened.
In general, there are two approaches to the problem of predicting...
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