The Rule-Breaking Campaign

Most elections produce a surprise or two. Here is why this one could upend all assumptions

Illustration for TIME by Dave Wheeler

The Rule-Breaking Campaign. Most elections produce a surprise or two. Here is why this one could upend all assumptions.

What a way to begin the fall! Perennial college-football power University of Michigan was ranked No. 5 in the preseason polls. It paid little Appalachian State University of Boone, N.C., about $400,000 to have its football team visit Ann Arbor to serve as a season-opening tune-up for the Wolverines. In a stunning upset, Appalachian State won 34-32-- kicking a field goal with 26 sec. left, then blocking a Michigan field-goal attempt on the game's last play.

Lesson: the improbable sometimes happens. And what's true in sports is true in politics. There hasn't been a major upset in a presidential-nomination race since...

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