Herd on the Street

Why professional investors have turned out to be as prone to manias and panics as the rest of us

Illustration for TIME by Carl Weins

In 1951, Princeton economics major Jack Bogle wrote a senior thesis extolling the virtues of the small but growing mutual-fund industry. At the time the reigning view of the stock market was that expressed 1 1/2 decades earlier by the great English economist (and speculator) John Maynard Keynes: it was a "casino," a "whirlpool of speculation," a "game of Snap, of Old Maid, of Musical Chairs." Young Bogle argued that the growth of professionally managed funds would bring a new age of calm rationality to the market and thus "militate against Lord Keynes' dismal and socialistic conclusions."

After graduation, Bogle went...

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