Waving or Drowning?

FABRIZIO BENSCH / REUTERS

THE CHAMP: Schrder looks triumphant after delivering a campaign speech in Magdeburg, left; but his party is trailing the opposition, led by Merkel, below, by 13 points in the polls

You've got to hand it to Gerhard Schrder; he really knows how to put on a show. At a campaign rally in Magdeburg in eastern Germany last week, he greeted the crowd with a big thumbs-up sign, gave a pugnacious and impassioned speech about his government's record, then exited to loud applause with his hands clasped over his head like a boxer who's delivered a knockout blow. From this bravura performance, you'd think Schrder and his Social Democratic Party (SPD) were coasting to victory in the Sept. 18 elections. In fact, the SPD trails the Christian Democrats (CDU) and its sister...

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